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Red391
2990174.9
6845122.1
2471157.0
Blue188
6442119.1
4488160.1
411096.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369248100200300400500600391188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.92.1
171.0173.1
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
red by 14.8
4488
#11
160.10.7
158.5159.2
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
Second
157.00.7
151.7152.4
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
red by 37.9
6442
#28
119.12.3
115.7118.0
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
Third
6845
#25
122.10.2
119.4119.6
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3
red by 25.7
4110
#34
96.30.3
96.396.6
Auto15.6
Teleop77.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed