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Red296
753133.7
4057135.7
5085121.8
Blue403
5748115.5
3024107.7
2635155.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322296100200400500296403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#23
135.71.5
132.8134.4
Auto20.2
Teleop97.5
End21.2
blue by 19.8
155.52.0
150.3152.3
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Second
753
#15
133.70.4
133.5134.0
Auto16.3
Teleop101.0
End15.2
red by 18.3
5748
#35
115.50.3
115.1114.8
Auto19.5
Teleop87.3
End9.7
Third
5085
#16
121.81.2
118.2119.3
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
red by 14.1
3024
#21
107.70.8
108.5107.6
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed