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Red423
4027151.9
303201.8
6032132.8
Blue103
4521137.0
3954128.0
4467136.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282550100200300500600700423103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#2
201.80.2
200.6200.8
Auto26.5
Teleop143.1
End32.6
red by 64.8
4521
#17
137.00.0
137.0137.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
Second
4027
#16
151.90.7
148.3149.0
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
red by 15.6
4467
#18
136.30.0
136.3136.3
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
Third
6032
#35
132.80.0
132.9132.9
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End13.6
red by 4.8
3954
#11
128.00.0
128.1128.0
Auto18.7
Teleop96.0
End11.3