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Red286
4522173.6
3492148.5
48140.3
Blue361
3504156.3
2252149.1
2053115.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399282100200500600700800286361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#10
173.60.4
172.5173.0
Auto22.1
Teleop126.5
End26.4
red by 17.3
3504
#24
156.30.4
153.5153.9
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
Second
148.50.8
146.2147.1
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
blue by 0.6
149.10.8
144.2145.0
Auto18.8
Teleop103.3
End31.0
Third
48
#25
140.30.6
138.8139.4
Auto22.5
Teleop107.3
End12.4
red by 24.4
2053
#38
115.90.2
114.5114.6
Auto18.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8