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Red370
4521137.0
5472178.4
6054126.7
Blue274
2252149.1
4150124.2
3061141.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342278100200400500370274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.41.5
165.3166.9
Auto23.3
Teleop135.3
End18.6
red by 29.3
149.11.0
131.2132.2
Auto18.8
Teleop103.3
End31.0
Second
4521
#17
137.00.9
126.2127.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
blue by 4.2
3061
#37
141.213.4
100.6114.0
Auto16.6
Teleop103.0
End18.7
Third
6054
#21
126.711.2
95.8107.0
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
red by 2.5
4150
#29
124.212.8
82.895.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed