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Red213
2603114.5
4027151.9
4467136.3
Blue415
303201.8
5811140.2
4028180.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2144420100300400500600213415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#16
151.92.3
127.9130.3
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
blue by 49.9
303
#2
201.81.4
187.1188.5
Auto26.5
Teleop143.1
End32.6
Second
4467
#18
136.30.5
131.5131.9
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
blue by 44.4
180.62.6
159.1161.8
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
Third
2603
#39
114.50.2
109.4109.3
Auto17.0
Teleop77.3
End21.9
blue by 25.8
5811
#12
140.21.5
129.7131.2
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned