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Red413
217197.8
4522173.6
337127.9
Blue231
3511112.6
5740139.3
7274124.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022170100300500413231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
197.82.1
184.0186.1
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
red by 58.5
5740
#27
139.31.1
137.2136.0
Auto19.1
Teleop99.0
End21.4
Second
4522
#10
173.61.5
158.5160.1
Auto22.1
Teleop126.5
End26.4
red by 48.7
7274
#19
124.914.2
77.791.9
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
Third
337
#15
127.91.6
108.7110.3
Auto19.6
Teleop92.7
End14.9
red by 15.3
3511
#40
112.68.1
90.898.9
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned