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Red267
3957115.7
48140.3
6947107.1
Blue151
2641118.2
2051122.8
5842157.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283420100300400500600700267151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#25
140.31.1
140.7139.6
Auto22.5
Teleop107.3
End12.4
blue by 17.3
5842
#14
157.62.8
146.0148.8
Auto19.2
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
3957
#36
115.78.7
88.597.1
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
blue by 7.1
2051
#43
122.88.6
96.1104.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.4
Third
6947
#41
107.19.5
77.787.3
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End4.6
blue by 11.0
2641
#42
118.29.2
97.2106.4
Auto15.3
Teleop84.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed