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Qual 322018 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red384
2051122.8
1708131.4
870158.2
Blue198
3492148.5
6054126.7
2641118.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323297150200250350400450500384198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#9
158.27.5
135.0→142.5
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End31.5
red by 9.7
3492
#4
148.52.4
134.5→136.9
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
Second
1708
#23
131.44.8
109.6→114.5
Auto15.8
Teleop105.6
End12.0
red by 4.7
6054
#21
126.74.3
115.1→119.4
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
Third
2051
#43
122.85.3
109.2→114.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.4
red by 4.7
2641
#42
118.24.7
111.4→116.1
Auto15.3
Teleop84.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed