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Red246
4522173.6
5811140.2
4467136.3
Blue456
5472178.4
48140.3
156163.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340347200300400500600246456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#10
173.61.9
161.9163.8
Auto22.1
Teleop126.5
End26.4
blue by 4.8
178.41.0
168.3169.3
Auto23.3
Teleop135.3
End18.6
Second
5811
#12
140.22.0
132.7134.7
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
blue by 23.0
156
#20
163.31.0
159.0160.0
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
Third
4467
#18
136.30.5
132.6133.1
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
blue by 4.0
48
#25
140.30.9
139.0138.0
Auto22.5
Teleop107.3
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed