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Red299
4521137.0
1787131.5
5842157.6
Blue257
217197.8
3511112.6
4547105.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340318200250300400450299257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#14
157.61.1
149.9150.9
Auto19.2
Teleop119.1
End18.4
blue by 40.2
217
#3
197.81.8
188.4190.2
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
Second
4521
#17
137.01.2
128.0129.2
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
red by 24.4
3511
#40
112.63.8
106.3110.1
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
Third
1787
#28
131.56.9
114.7121.6
Auto19.9
Teleop93.5
End19.3
red by 26.0
4547
#51
105.62.6
102.0104.6
Auto10.8
Teleop78.0
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed