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Red251
5811140.2
716599.2
4050143.5
Blue335
2051122.8
3260144.7
4145175.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262372100200300400500251335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#31
143.55.4
133.2138.6
Auto17.2
Teleop104.7
End23.3
blue by 31.6
175.12.4
165.0167.3
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
Second
5811
#12
140.21.2
134.7135.9
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
blue by 4.4
3260
#13
144.71.3
137.2138.5
Auto16.5
Teleop108.3
End20.2
Third
7165
#49
99.20.8
95.396.1
Auto12.5
Teleop82.7
End7.6
blue by 23.6
2051
#43
122.85.1
114.6119.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed