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Red585
4028180.6
3171152.2
217197.8
Blue165
3957115.7
870158.2
156163.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430285100200400500600585165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
197.81.1
190.2191.3
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
red by 34.5
156
#20
163.31.5
160.0161.5
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
Second
180.62.5
166.0168.5
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
red by 22.5
870
#9
158.26.6
142.5149.1
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End31.5
Third
152.27.2
136.3143.5
Auto16.8
Teleop115.0
End19.4
red by 36.5
3957
#36
115.73.5
109.8113.3
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed