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Red431
4027151.9
4522173.6
3511112.6
Blue260
2053115.9
3504156.3
1708131.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344279100200300400500431260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#10
173.61.1
163.8164.9
Auto22.1
Teleop126.5
End26.4
red by 17.3
3504
#24
156.30.0
150.8150.8
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
Second
4027
#16
151.93.1
135.1138.2
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
red by 20.5
1708
#23
131.44.8
114.5119.3
Auto15.8
Teleop105.6
End12.0
Third
3511
#40
112.61.6
110.1111.7
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
blue by 3.3
2053
#38
115.90.4
116.3115.9
Auto18.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed