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Qual 412018 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red390
4049115.4
4521137.0
3492148.5
Blue49
3954128.0
3955108.8
4269106.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29832210020040050060039049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3492
#4
148.51.5
136.9→138.4
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
red by 20.5
3954
#11
128.05.0
127.8→132.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.0
End11.3
Second
4521
#17
137.01.0
129.2→130.1
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
red by 28.2
3955
#44
108.82.9
114.3→117.2
Auto14.5
Teleop81.9
End14.0
Third
4049
#48
115.42.1
105.9→108.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End7.8
red by 8.9
4269
#47
106.50.2
124.1→123.9
Auto11.4
Teleop85.3
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed