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Qual 512018 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red402
1308113.3
2641118.2
4028180.6
Blue297
5740139.3
6414121.1
4521137.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342296100200400500600402297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#1
180.62.5
168.5→171.0
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
red by 41.4
5740
#27
139.30.3
137.1→137.4
Auto19.1
Teleop99.0
End21.4
Second
2641
#42
118.20.2
117.9→117.7
Auto15.3
Teleop84.0
End19.6
blue by 18.8
4521
#17
137.01.9
130.1→132.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
Third
1308
#22
113.33.3
99.5→102.8
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End14.5
blue by 7.8
6414
#45
121.10.9
117.7→118.7
Auto13.1
Teleop85.5
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsEarned