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Red279
3062106.8
870158.2
2603114.5
Blue392
2252149.1
4467136.3
4050143.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272388100200300500279392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#9
158.22.0
149.1151.1
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End31.5
red by 9.1
149.11.9
136.5138.4
Auto18.8
Teleop103.3
End31.0
Second
2603
#39
114.50.5
110.8111.3
Auto17.0
Teleop77.3
End21.9
blue by 29.0
4050
#31
143.53.2
138.6141.8
Auto17.2
Teleop104.7
End23.3
Third
3062
#46
106.81.5
101.8103.4
Auto15.3
Teleop84.4
End10.5
blue by 29.5
4467
#18
136.31.0
133.2134.1
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed