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Red220
1787131.5
3957115.7
3511112.6
Blue411
48140.3
7274124.9
4930167.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267355100150200300400450500220411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#28
131.51.7
130.2131.9
Auto19.9
Teleop93.5
End19.3
blue by 35.5
4930
#30
167.10.1
165.8165.7
Auto20.5
Teleop127.2
End17.2
Second
3957
#36
115.71.8
113.4115.1
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
blue by 24.6
48
#25
140.30.6
138.4137.8
Auto22.5
Teleop107.3
End12.4
Third
3511
#40
112.60.2
114.1114.4
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
blue by 12.3
7274
#19
124.93.3
117.7121.0
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed