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Red433
4028180.6
3260144.7
3492148.5
Blue269
7274124.9
5472178.4
4145175.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344367100200300400500600433269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.62.8
173.6176.4
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
red by 2.2
178.41.6
174.5176.1
Auto23.3
Teleop135.3
End18.6
Second
148.51.9
142.2144.1
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
blue by 26.6
175.12.2
171.3173.5
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
Third
3260
#13
144.70.8
140.3141.1
Auto16.5
Teleop108.3
End20.2
red by 19.8
7274
#19
124.93.6
121.0124.6
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed