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Red491
6414121.1
4991127.8
1708131.4
Blue184
4547105.6
1743101.2
945125.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329253100200300400500491184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#23
131.42.6
125.3127.8
Auto15.8
Teleop105.6
End12.0
red by 6.1
945
#26
125.20.7
124.3125.0
Auto16.5
Teleop96.8
End12.4
Second
4991
#32
127.82.3
122.1124.5
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
red by 22.2
4547
#51
105.60.1
106.0106.1
Auto10.8
Teleop78.0
End17.5
Third
6414
#45
121.10.3
119.8120.1
Auto13.1
Teleop85.5
End20.1
red by 19.9
1743
#50
101.23.0
106.6103.7
Auto9.8
Teleop84.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed