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Red233
4467136.3
6032132.8
5077100.3
Blue330
3171152.2
4521137.0
3957115.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248352100200300400500600233330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#18
136.30.6
135.1135.7
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
blue by 15.9
152.21.6
154.2152.6
Auto16.8
Teleop115.0
End19.4
Second
6032
#35
132.80.6
134.0133.4
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End13.6
blue by 4.2
4521
#17
137.01.8
133.8135.6
Auto17.2
Teleop101.2
End16.2
Third
5077
#52
100.31.4
97.899.2
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End8.0
blue by 15.5
3957
#36
115.70.4
115.1115.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed