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Red322
3062106.8
156163.3
4269106.5
Blue463
6054126.7
4027151.9
303201.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204280100300500600322463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#20
163.30.5
161.8162.3
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
blue by 38.5
303
#2
201.81.5
197.3198.8
Auto26.5
Teleop143.1
End32.6
Second
3062
#46
106.80.2
105.3105.5
Auto15.3
Teleop84.4
End10.5
blue by 45.1
4027
#16
151.92.1
143.4145.5
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
Third
4269
#47
106.54.1
112.1108.0
Auto11.4
Teleop85.3
End9.8
blue by 20.2
6054
#21
126.70.9
124.4125.3
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed