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Red312
3504156.3
6947107.1
2051122.8
Blue379
117104.3
217197.8
2252149.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271369100200300400500600312379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#24
156.31.1
151.3152.4
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
blue by 41.5
217
#3
197.81.2
194.4195.6
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
Second
2051
#43
122.80.1
122.7122.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.4
blue by 26.3
149.12.0
140.1142.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.3
End31.0
Third
6947
#41
107.11.7
104.0105.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End4.6
red by 2.9
117
#34
104.30.5
104.0103.5
Auto15.4
Teleop81.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned