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Red261
1308113.3
2053115.9
2603114.5
Blue369
4150124.2
4049115.4
337127.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693090100200400500600700261369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#38
115.90.3
114.7114.4
Auto18.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 12.0
337
#15
127.91.9
119.5121.4
Auto19.6
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Second
2603
#39
114.51.1
112.0113.2
Auto17.0
Teleop77.3
End21.9
blue by 9.7
4150
#29
124.22.1
125.7123.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.7
End18.3
Third
1308
#22
113.33.4
106.8110.2
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End14.5
blue by 2.1
4049
#48
115.41.7
116.3114.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed