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Red307
5811140.2
870158.2
7274124.9
Blue301
4547105.6
5077100.3
3504156.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374253100200300400500600307301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#9
158.20.8
156.2156.9
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End31.5
red by 1.9
3504
#24
156.31.1
152.4153.5
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
Second
5811
#12
140.20.9
138.4139.3
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
red by 34.7
4547
#51
105.60.5
106.1105.6
Auto10.8
Teleop78.0
End17.5
Third
7274
#19
124.90.3
124.6124.9
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
red by 24.6
5077
#52
100.31.1
99.2100.3
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed