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Red400
6032132.8
3954128.0
217197.8
Blue362
4050143.5
2641118.2
4027151.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389290100200500600400362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
197.81.5
195.6197.1
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
red by 45.9
4027
#16
151.92.1
145.5147.6
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
Second
6032
#35
132.80.4
133.4132.9
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End13.6
blue by 10.6
4050
#31
143.51.1
144.6143.5
Auto17.2
Teleop104.7
End23.3
Third
3954
#11
128.01.0
129.1128.1
Auto18.7
Teleop96.0
End11.3
red by 9.9
2641
#42
118.21.0
119.1118.2
Auto15.3
Teleop84.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed