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Red352
25203.1
2590236.4
6226127.7
Blue369
1640192.4
1218181.5
1647120.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420332100200300500600352369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.40.2
236.0236.2
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
red by 44.0
192.40.1
192.3192.3
Auto23.1
Teleop143.1
End26.7
Second
25
#3
203.10.1
203.0203.0
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
red by 21.6
181.50.7
180.2180.8
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
Third
6226
#27
127.70.2
127.3127.5
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 7.5
1647
#28
120.20.3
119.6119.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7