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Red259
25203.1
2590236.4
6226127.7
Blue244
1640192.4
1218181.5
1647120.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426334100200300400500600700259244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.40.4
235.7236.0
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
red by 44.0
192.40.2
192.1192.3
Auto23.1
Teleop143.1
End26.7
Second
25
#3
203.10.2
202.8203.0
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
red by 21.6
181.50.8
179.4180.2
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
Third
6226
#27
127.70.3
127.0127.3
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 7.5
1647
#28
120.20.4
119.2119.6
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7