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Red410
5407169.8
1391157.3
2559130.2
Blue262
708174.7
1807153.4
6808117.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3913160100200500600700410262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.1
170.1170.0
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
blue by 4.9
708
#16
174.70.5
175.3174.7
Auto22.6
Teleop124.3
End28.3
Second
157.30.6
155.7156.3
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
red by 3.9
1807
#10
153.40.1
153.3153.4
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
Third
2559
#18
130.20.1
130.0130.1
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
red by 12.6
6808
#14
117.60.4
117.3117.6
Auto18.2
Teleop87.3
End14.9