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Red245
5407169.8
2577122.4
6943110.6
Blue239
5181136.4
1647120.2
6808117.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472450100200300400500600245239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.81.0
165.0166.0
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
red by 33.5
5181
#20
136.40.5
134.3133.7
Auto17.2
Teleop107.4
End10.3
Second
2577
#12
122.40.6
116.7117.3
Auto14.9
Teleop91.4
End18.1
red by 2.2
1647
#28
120.20.5
118.0117.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
Third
6943
#25
110.60.6
115.3115.9
Auto17.1
Teleop82.7
End10.6
blue by 7.0
6808
#14
117.60.9
103.9104.8
Auto18.2
Teleop87.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed