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Red257
25203.1
1791105.2
4454117.5
Blue438
1257154.2
1143129.3
5404162.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873500100200400500600257438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
203.10.5
202.1202.6
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
red by 41.0
162.00.3
151.2151.5
Auto21.6
Teleop112.4
End29.7
Second
4454
#15
117.50.0
112.0112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
blue by 36.7
154.20.4
151.1151.5
Auto19.9
Teleop115.5
End17.0
Third
1791
#11
105.20.3
99.8100.1
Auto18.1
Teleop78.2
End9.8
blue by 24.1
1143
#22
129.30.2
128.0128.2
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed