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Red380
1391157.3
5490101.0
2559130.2
Blue359
219141.9
816124.9
1807153.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883580100200400500600380359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.30.8
146.6147.4
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
red by 3.9
1807
#10
153.40.2
153.0152.7
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
Second
2559
#18
130.20.2
129.0129.2
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
blue by 11.7
219
#17
141.90.5
136.5137.0
Auto21.4
Teleop108.6
End14.4
Third
5490
#21
101.00.4
97.798.1
Auto14.6
Teleop81.0
End6.4
blue by 23.9
816
#26
124.90.1
130.2130.1
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed