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Red397
2590236.4
5181136.4
5404162.0
Blue314
1640192.4
2458121.8
1647120.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4452320100300400500600700800397314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.41.8
221.8223.6
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
red by 44.0
192.40.5
183.2182.7
Auto23.1
Teleop143.1
End26.7
Second
162.00.8
151.5152.3
Auto21.6
Teleop112.4
End29.7
red by 40.2
2458
#19
121.81.1
109.5110.6
Auto19.2
Teleop88.4
End13.7
Third
5181
#20
136.40.2
133.7133.5
Auto17.2
Teleop107.4
End10.3
red by 16.2
1647
#28
120.20.2
117.5117.2
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed