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Red167
816124.9
2559130.2
6327126.9
Blue398
1811126.7
1257154.2
1218181.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673940100200300500600700167398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2559
#18
130.20.7
129.2129.9
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
blue by 51.3
181.50.9
160.8161.7
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
Second
6327
#32
126.90.1
136.4136.3
Auto18.5
Teleop94.5
End12.2
blue by 27.3
154.20.8
151.5152.3
Auto19.9
Teleop115.5
End17.0
Third
816
#26
124.90.2
130.1130.3
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
blue by 1.7
1811
#30
126.71.3
131.6130.3
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed