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Red147
103147.5
1791105.2
4285123.3
Blue390
1807153.4
25203.1
6943110.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523930100200300500600700147390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#8
147.50.8
144.8145.7
Auto17.6
Teleop118.2
End10.9
blue by 55.6
25
#3
203.10.2
202.6202.8
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
Second
4285
#31
123.30.7
128.4129.1
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
blue by 30.1
1807
#10
153.40.7
152.9152.2
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
Third
1791
#11
105.20.4
100.2100.6
Auto18.1
Teleop78.2
End9.8
blue by 5.3
6943
#25
110.60.0
116.1116.1
Auto17.1
Teleop82.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed