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Red316
1218181.5
1791105.2
203151.9
Blue292
1811126.7
5407169.8
219141.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303335100200400500316292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.51.9
164.6166.5
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
red by 11.7
169.81.4
169.5170.9
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
Second
203
#24
151.91.0
157.4156.4
Auto19.8
Teleop114.9
End16.0
red by 10.0
219
#17
141.90.2
140.1140.2
Auto21.4
Teleop108.6
End14.4
Third
1791
#11
105.20.8
100.7101.5
Auto18.1
Teleop78.2
End9.8
blue by 21.4
1811
#30
126.70.6
128.0127.4
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed