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Red177
2559130.2
708174.7
2577122.4
Blue432
6808117.6
1807153.4
2590236.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293422100200500600700177432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#16
174.70.5
182.4181.9
Auto22.6
Teleop124.3
End28.3
blue by 61.7
236.41.3
228.2229.5
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
Second
2559
#18
130.20.3
130.7131.0
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
blue by 23.2
1807
#10
153.40.2
150.6150.4
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
Third
2577
#12
122.40.6
120.2120.8
Auto14.9
Teleop91.4
End18.1
red by 4.7
6808
#14
117.61.4
107.9109.3
Auto18.2
Teleop87.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsEarned