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Red239
4454117.5
5457125.5
1811126.7
Blue304
2577122.4
4285123.3
2539144.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853270100200400500600700800239304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#30
126.70.2
127.0127.2
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End12.2
blue by 17.8
2539
#23
144.51.4
147.5146.1
Auto19.4
Teleop105.3
End21.8
Second
5457
#29
125.50.5
124.1124.7
Auto22.9
Teleop88.3
End14.4
red by 2.2
4285
#31
123.31.1
126.7125.5
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
Third
4454
#15
117.51.8
113.9115.7
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
blue by 4.8
2577
#12
122.40.2
120.6120.8
Auto14.9
Teleop91.4
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed