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Red193
219141.9
5407169.8
708174.7
Blue383
816124.9
25203.1
103147.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375317100200500600700193383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#16
174.71.2
180.6179.4
Auto22.6
Teleop124.3
End28.3
blue by 28.3
25
#3
203.10.6
201.6201.0
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
Second
169.80.4
172.2172.5
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
red by 22.3
103
#8
147.50.4
144.3144.7
Auto17.6
Teleop118.2
End10.9
Third
219
#17
141.90.5
140.5141.1
Auto21.4
Teleop108.6
End14.4
red by 17.0
816
#26
124.90.8
125.6124.7
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed