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Red479
1218181.5
1143129.3
1391157.3
Blue172
1647120.2
6226127.7
6943110.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262160100300500600700800479172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.51.6
170.9172.5
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
red by 53.8
6226
#27
127.71.0
123.0124.0
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
Second
157.30.8
152.0152.9
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
red by 37.1
1647
#28
120.20.4
118.9118.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
Third
1143
#22
129.30.3
127.9128.2
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End11.1
red by 18.7
6943
#25
110.61.4
115.0113.6
Auto17.1
Teleop82.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed