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Red181
6327126.9
6808117.6
708174.7
Blue424
103147.5
4454117.5
1391157.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290371100200400500600181424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#16
174.71.4
177.2175.8
Auto22.6
Teleop124.3
End28.3
red by 17.4
157.31.2
153.9155.1
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
Second
6327
#32
126.92.4
129.3126.9
Auto18.5
Teleop94.5
End12.2
blue by 20.6
103
#8
147.51.0
145.5146.5
Auto17.6
Teleop118.2
End10.9
Third
6808
#14
117.62.1
114.7116.8
Auto18.2
Teleop87.3
End14.9
red by 0.1
4454
#15
117.50.6
116.9117.5
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed