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Red243
2458121.8
4285123.3
5404162.0
Blue453
1218181.5
816124.9
5407169.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264399100200300500600700243453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.01.4
160.2161.5
Auto21.6
Teleop112.4
End29.7
blue by 19.5
181.52.1
174.2176.3
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
Second
4285
#31
123.31.2
124.5123.3
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
blue by 46.5
169.81.4
171.7170.2
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
Third
2458
#19
121.80.0
121.8121.8
Auto19.2
Teleop88.4
End13.7
blue by 3.1
816
#26
124.90.1
124.4124.5
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed43%Face the Boss oddsEarned