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Red177
5895145.1
3929155.6
709131.4
Blue422
103141.9
316165.8
7110130.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326316200250300350400177422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.60.1
155.5155.6
Auto19.9
Teleop118.9
End14.0
blue by 10.2
316
#7
165.80.2
163.7163.9
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
5895
#20
145.10.2
144.8145.0
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
red by 3.2
103
#17
141.90.2
139.9140.1
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Third
709
#19
131.40.2
131.0131.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
red by 0.6
7110
#14
130.70.4
128.0128.4
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3