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Red238
1218159.0
5407162.9
486143.1
Blue398
103141.9
316165.8
7110130.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361303100200400500238398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.5
162.4162.9
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End32.0
blue by 3.0
316
#7
165.80.3
164.8165.2
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
159.00.3
158.7159.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
red by 17.2
103
#17
141.90.3
141.0141.3
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Third
486
#25
143.10.2
143.3143.1
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
red by 12.4
7110
#14
130.70.4
129.5129.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3