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Red218
1218159.0
5407162.9
486143.1
Blue429
103141.9
316165.8
7110130.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371295100200400500600218429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.6
161.8162.4
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End32.0
blue by 3.0
316
#7
165.80.3
164.6164.8
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
Second
159.00.4
158.3158.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
red by 17.2
103
#17
141.90.3
140.7141.0
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Third
486
#25
143.10.1
143.4143.3
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
red by 12.4
7110
#14
130.70.4
129.2129.5
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3