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Red456
5404149.5
4342176.9
1168111.6
Blue277
1495143.7
2168177.9
2095101.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269346100200300400500600456277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.91.3
158.3159.5
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
blue by 1.0
177.91.6
155.5157.1
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
Second
149.54.8
113.2118.0
Auto19.7
Teleop105.2
End26.4
red by 5.8
1495
#10
143.73.2
132.3135.5
Auto18.9
Teleop108.2
End14.2
Third
1168
#16
111.60.5
101.9102.4
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
red by 10.4
2095
#26
101.15.2
94.699.8
Auto14.3
Teleop77.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed