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Red322
3929155.6
1807152.4
4373127.0
Blue410
7110130.7
225216.4
6808102.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873330100200400500600700322410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.61.5
144.9146.4
Auto19.9
Teleop118.9
End14.0
blue by 60.8
225
#2
216.40.0
199.4199.4
Auto29.0
Teleop158.0
End28.0
Second
1807
#24
152.47.5
112.3119.8
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
red by 21.7
7110
#14
130.710.4
90.5101.0
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3
Third
4373
#27
127.00.3
125.5125.2
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
red by 24.7
6808
#30
102.34.2
88.993.0
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed