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Red225
321132.4
433156.7
5181134.6
Blue291
1218159.0
204103.7
2168177.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723380100200400500600700225291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#8
156.70.9
146.8147.8
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
blue by 21.2
177.91.8
153.7155.5
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
Second
5181
#18
134.65.9
109.0114.9
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8
blue by 24.4
159.011.5
116.3127.8
Auto20.9
Teleop117.2
End23.3
Third
321
#29
132.40.7
130.7130.0
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
red by 28.7
204
#23
103.70.8
110.8110.0
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed