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Red217
190120.2
486143.1
4454113.2
Blue398
3974142.4
4342176.9
7110130.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953200200400600800217398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#25
143.10.8
141.1142.0
Auto18.7
Teleop107.7
End15.5
blue by 33.8
176.90.7
157.5158.3
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
Second
190
#22
120.25.6
107.6113.1
Auto18.0
Teleop91.3
End13.4
blue by 22.2
3974
#15
142.40.4
143.3143.7
Auto18.9
Teleop105.7
End17.3
Third
4454
#21
113.210.6
93.0103.6
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
blue by 17.5
7110
#14
130.712.8
77.790.5
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed