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Red116
6808102.3
5407162.9
2559127.2
Blue401
423110.6
1168111.6
5895145.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340219100300400500600116401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.90.6
150.1150.7
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End32.0
red by 17.8
5895
#20
145.15.8
121.2127.0
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Second
2559
#12
127.213.4
87.8101.2
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
red by 15.6
1168
#16
111.61.1
103.1101.9
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
Third
6808
#30
102.311.1
77.788.9
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End10.4
blue by 8.3
423
#11
110.60.3
109.1108.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed